Climate action simulation

CO2Sim

The tragedy of the commons, played out on one shared atmosphere

Each participant runs a country or a company and decides, round after round, how much to produce. Growth pays, but every shift adds CO₂ to a shared atmosphere everyone depends on. Profit today, or a habitable planet tomorrow.

Sustainability and ESG Climate action 5 players · multiplayer 8–12 rounds
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01Overview

The hardest problem in the room: cooperating

CO2Sim confronts participants with the dilemma that defines climate change — short-term individual growth against long-term planetary stability — and turns the tragedy of the commons into something you feel, not just something you discuss.

An authentic climate dilemma

A realistic balance between economic profit and CO₂ emissions: the same trade-off every government and every board faces today.

Collective consequences

Individual production decisions add up to one shared outcome: the global temperature everyone lives with.

Critical tipping points

Penalties escalate at +1.5°C and +2.0°C, and at +3.0°C the world collapses — game over for everyone.

Competitive multiplayer

Five countries or companies decide at the same time, each tempted to free-ride on everyone else’s restraint.

5
Countries / firms
0–3
Shifts per round
+3.0°C
Collapse threshold
8–12
Rounds
02The case study

A world at the tipping point

The planet has already warmed +1.0°C. International agreements exist, but the pressure to grow is immense: citizens want jobs, shareholders want returns. You hold the throttle.

The setup

You represent one of five countries or companies. Round after round, you decide how many production shifts to run. More shifts mean more revenue, and more CO₂ pushing the global temperature upward.

Cross +1.5°C and economic penalties begin; +2.0°C and they bite hard; reach +3.0°C and the world collapses, so everyone loses everything. The goal: maximise your cumulative profit without tipping the planet over the edge.

Climate change Free-riding Created by Joaquim Virgili

Key parameters

Current temperature+1.0°C
Danger threshold+1.5°C
Critical point+2.0°C
Catastrophic collapse+3.0°C
Revenue per shift€1,000,000
Fixed / variable cost€3,000 · €50/shift

The question the whole simulation turns on: do you grow today, or survive tomorrow?

03The dilemma

Everyone’s rational choice burns the planet

Three forces pull at every round. Producing more is the smart move for you and, multiplied by five, it is exactly what tips the world past +3.0°C. Pick a production level and watch the thermometer.

Your self-interest

Each production shift earns about €1,000,000. The rational move, the one shareholders applaud, is to run at full throttle.

Produce more

The shared atmosphere

Every shift, by anyone, adds CO₂ to one common sky. Emissions accumulate and the global temperature only climbs.

One atmosphere

The collective outcome

If all five run at maximum, the world passes +3.0°C and collapses, and everyone’s accumulated profit is wiped out.

Collapse

Climate simulator

If all five economies choose this production level every round, in a 10-round game:

Your projected profit
 
Cumulative CO₂
 
 

Illustrative projection based on the documented design of the simulation (shift → CO₂: 0 → −5, 1 → 0, 2 → +5, 3 → +10; revenue of €1M per shift; penalties of €200 at +1.5°C and €400 at +2.0°C per player and round; collapse at +3.0°C). The free-rider trap: maximum production pays best for you alone, but if all five do it, everyone loses everything.

04Simulated dynamics

A simple decision, round after round

The mechanic is deliberately minimal — pick a number from 0 to 3 — so that all the complexity lives in the strategy and the group dynamics, not in the interface.

Step 1

Choose your shifts

Pick 0 to 3 production shifts for the round.

Step 2

Everyone commits

All five players lock in their choice at once.

Step 3

Emissions add up

Total CO₂ rises and the global temperature updates.

Step 4

Profit and penalties

Revenue is booked and temperature penalties are charged.

Next

Next round

Repeat, until survival or collapse.

Shifts Operation CO2 Gross revenue
0 Active reduction −5 €0
1 Carbon-neutral 0 €1,000,000
2 Moderate +5 €2,000,000
3 Maximum +10 €3,000,000

Each extra shift pays you almost a full €1,000,000: the variable cost is trivial. The real cost of producing is paid by the shared atmosphere, not by your account.

A simple choice

One number, 0 to 3, each round: easy to learn, hard to master.

Real-time feedback

Temperature and finances update live as the round resolves.

Optional bots

Bots fill empty seats, copying the most conservative human choice.

Profit maximisation

Win on cumulative profit, without tipping the world into collapse.

05Learning objectives

What participants take away

An experiential bridge from abstract theory to lived experience: the tragedy of the commons, collective-action problems, and why coordinating climate action is so hard even when everyone understands what is at stake.

Tragedy of the commons

The conflict between individual incentives and collective welfare, and how hard cooperation is without enforcement.

Collective action and free-riding

Why voluntary coordination breaks down, and how opportunistic free-riding undermines the group.

Systems thinking

The cumulative effect of small decisions, and the non-linearity of tipping points in complex systems.

Intertemporal trade-offs

Short-term gains against long-term stability, and the pull of present bias and temporal discounting.

Game theory

The iterated prisoner’s dilemma: dominant strategies, Nash equilibrium and Pareto-optimal cooperation.

Environmental economics

Negative externalities, abatement cost against damage cost, and the role of climate policy and regulation.

Pedagogical anchors: Hardin on the commons, Ostrom on governing shared resources, Axelrod on the evolution of cooperation, with a direct line to the COP negotiations and the Paris Agreement.

06Results and metrics

Private wins, shared losses

Each player tracks their own income statement while one number belongs to everyone: the global temperature. The chart shows the cliff — profit climbs with production, then collapses to zero the moment the world tips.

Income statement

Revenue, fixed and variable costs, temperature penalties and net profit, round by round.

Cumulative profit

The individual scoreboard: who is winning the private race.

Global temperature

The shared verdict: the background itself shifts colour as the planet heats.

Profit by collective strategy
all 5 players · 10 rounds · illustrative
−€0.03M
Reduce (0)
+€9.97M
Neutral (1) · safe
+€19.97M
Moderate (2) · 2.0°C
COLLAPSE
Maximum (3) · 3.0°C
Safe Danger zone Collapse / loss

Comparable across cohorts

Instructors get a unified results view and can run parallel worlds — pure competition against negotiation allowed — to compare cooperation rates, free-riding and the round of collapse side by side.

07Teaching role

One engine, many sessions

A real-time panel runs the room, and a set of modes turns the same simulation into a pure-competition energiser, a model-UN negotiation, or a policy lab.

Pure competition

No communication between players: maximum tension, the commons at its starkest.

With negotiation

Pause between rounds for non-binding verbal agreements: the closest thing to real climate talks.

Asymmetric roles

Give some players developed-economy capital and others growth needs: it adds climate justice.

Policy injections

Introduce a carbon tax or an abatement subsidy mid-game and watch behaviour shift.

Tune the economy

Set fixed and variable costs, the number of rounds and the refresh rate from the panel.

Bots fill the seats

Run with fewer than five humans; bots copy the most conservative human move.

Built-in

Spot the free-riders

Monitor cooperation patterns live and identify leaders and opportunists round by round.

Pause, advance, revert

Full round control: advance manually, revert mistakes, or reset the game.

08Instructor debrief

From the game to the real COP

Whether the world survived or burned, the debrief is where it connects to prisoner’s dilemmas, Paris-Agreement realpolitik and the everyday commons inside any organisation.

10–15 min
Block 1

Briefing

Set the climate context and the rules. Emphasise the one that changes everything: at +3.0°C, everyone loses.

40–60 min
Block 2

Active simulation

Run 8 to 12 rounds of 4 to 6 minutes each. Watch cooperation form, or free-riding take hold near the thresholds.

Live
During play

Observe the dynamics

Note who leads, who defects, and the rounds where behaviour flips at the critical temperatures.

30–45 min
Block 3

Debrief and connect

Did they survive? Who won? Tie the strategies to the theory and to real climate negotiations.

Discussion questions that drive it home

1

Did the world survive, or collapse? At which round did the temperature trend become irreversible?

2

Was running at full production the rational move for you individually, even though it doomed the group?

3

Did anyone lead by example or broker an agreement? Who defected first, and what happened to trust?

4

Where is the gap between the Nash equilibrium and the Pareto optimum here, and what would close it?

5

How does this mirror the COP process and the Paris Agreement: non-binding pledges, free-riding nations?

6

Which mechanism would have helped most: a carbon tax, binding quotas, communication, or enforcement?

The insight to land

The small per-round penalties never deter anyone: only the +3.0°C catastrophe does, and by then it is too late to reverse. Rational, self-interested players burn a planet nobody wanted to lose. Naming that, and then exploring enforcement, pricing and communication, is where climate strategy stops being a slogan.

09Fact sheet

CO2Sim at a glance

Everything you need to position, schedule and run the simulation.

Theme
Climate action tragedy of the commons
Case
A warming world countries or companies
Format
Multiplayer 5 players + optional bots
Duration
60–90 min + 30–45 min debrief
Decision
Production shifts 0–3 per round
Rounds
8–12 configurable
Thresholds
+1.5 · +2.0 · +3.0°C penalties, then collapse
Economics
€1M per shift fixed €3,000 · variable €50
Audience
MBA · Exec Ed ESG · economics · game theory
Languages
ES · EN interface and teaching materials
Author
Joaquim Virgili founder of Kudzu Partners
Contact
eurekasimulations.com/co2siminfo@eurekasimulations.com
FAQ

Answers to the most frequently asked questions

Between 60 and 90 minutes of play plus 30 to 45 minutes of debrief. A typical session runs 8 to 12 rounds of 4 to 6 minutes each, and the number of rounds is configurable from the instructor panel.

Five countries or companies decide at the same time. If fewer than five people are in the room, optional bots fill the empty seats and copy the most conservative human move, so the dilemma still works.

One number per round: how many production shifts to run, from 0 to 3. Zero means active reduction, one is carbon-neutral, and each extra shift adds both revenue and CO₂. Everything else — the tension, the negotiation, the strategy — grows out of that single choice.

A real-time panel: fixed and variable costs, the number of rounds, round advance, revert and reset, and a live view of who is cooperating and who is free-riding. The same simulation can be run as pure competition, with negotiation between rounds, with asymmetric roles, or with a carbon tax injected mid-game.

MBA and executive education programmes in sustainability and ESG, environmental economics, public policy and climate diplomacy, and any game theory or negotiation course that teaches the tragedy of the commons. It is available in Spanish and English.

Contact

Let us talk about your implementation

Write to us about how CO2Sim can help you achieve your learning objectives.

General inquiries

info@eurekasimulations.com

Technical support

tech@eurekasimulations.com
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CO2Sim

CO2Sim, the climate action simulation by Eureka Simulations: five countries or companies decide how much to produce, and one shared atmosphere keeps the score.

Developed by Eureka Simulations
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