La Distribución de Probabilidades
Simulación para enseñar distribuciones de probabilidad, stock de seguridad y reorder points en distribución farmacéutica colombiana.
What participants learn
After the session, participants will be able to:
- Prioritize a constrained nature budget across sites by exposure, meaning how close each ecosystem is to an abrupt shift and what the business loses if it shifts, rather than by project size, advocacy or headline cost
- Distinguish measurement and disclosure ambition from on-the-ground protection, and judge when assessment depth, investor-grade reporting and ambitious targets add credibility and when they become cheap talk
- Apply the mitigation hierarchy of avoid, reduce, restore and offset to a real allocation, and defend where offsets are and are not legitimate
- Analyze thresholds and irreversibility under uncertainty, explaining why trend extrapolation fails near a tipping point and how a budget falling from €5.0 million to €3.0 million changes sequencing across cycles
- Critique the scorecard itself by identifying where the measured contribution diverges from the ecological outcome and what that divergence would do to a real corporate programme
Who it is for
An intermediate simulation for participants who already know the core concepts of the subject, designed for master's and MBA programmes.
How a session runs
- The instructor creates a session from the Eureka dashboard and invites the participants.
- Participants play 3 rounds. In each one they submit their decisions and the simulation calculates the results.
- The simulation can be run in English, Español.
- The instructor follows each participant's progress and results from the dashboard, and uses the class results for the debrief.