Monte Carlo for Capital Decisions — NS-204 Capacity Build

Probabilistic forecasting on the NS-204 capacity-build authorisation at NovaSano Therapeutics. Three rounds — Diagnose, Design, Defend — walk participants through framing the decision under multi-axis uncertainty, building a defensible Monte Carlo with input-distribution choices and Iman-Conover correlation imposition, and answering the audit-committee chair's certifying-workflow question. Graduate / MBA quantitative-methods band; anchor sim of Track 13B.