Finance & Banking · Corporate Finance

El Análisis de Escenarios

Simulación de evaluación de contrato de exportación de café y cocoa bajo volatilidad macroeconómica. Los participantes definen escenarios, calculan VPN, aplican coberturas de riesgo y presentan recomendación a junta directiva.

4 rounds Executive English, Español

Preview

Who it is for

An advanced simulation for participants used to working with the main frameworks and trade-offs of the subject, designed for executive education and experienced professionals.

How a session runs

  1. The instructor creates a session from the Eureka dashboard and invites the participants.
  2. Participants play 4 rounds. In each one they submit their decisions and the simulation calculates the results. The first round opens with: Definición de Escenarios.
  3. The simulation can be run in English, Español.
  4. The instructor follows each participant's progress and results from the dashboard, and uses the class results for the debrief.

Decisions participants make

The decisions participants make during the simulation:

  • Optimista (%)
  • Base (%)
  • Pesimista (%)
  • Tasa de Descuento (%)
  • Años del Contrato
  • Forward de Cambio — Fija COP/USD a 4,150 (Costo: COP 33M/año)
  • Opción Put Cocoa — Precio mínimo USD 2.80/lb (Costo: COP 50M/año)
  • Renegociar Cláusula de Terminación — Penalty 10% (Costo: COP 20M/año)

What participants track

What participants follow on screen as the rounds go by:

  • Asignar Probabilidades (%)
  • Parámetros de Valoración
  • Instrumentos de Cobertura
  • Recomendación a Junta Directiva

Subjects covered

Designed for courses in Corporate Finance.

  • Scenario Planning & Strategic Foresight
  • Risk Management
  • Pricing Strategy & Revenue Management

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