Finance & Banking · Banking & Financial Services

Risk Underwriter — Banco Atlântico Norte's €45M LBO Term Loan

A four-round, advanced credit-risk and leveraged-finance simulation set inside Banco Atlântico Norte (BAN), a mid-sized Portuguese commercial bank in Porto with a €6.8B loan book and a corporate-and-leveraged-finance desk.

4 rounds Executive

Preview

About this simulation

A four-round, advanced credit-risk and leveraged-finance simulation set inside Banco Atlântico Norte (BAN), a mid-sized Portuguese commercial bank in Porto with a €6.8B loan book and a corporate-and-leveraged-finance desk.

You are the desk's underwriting team, facing one mandate under a 72-hour committee deadline: a private-equity sponsor wants BAN to fund a €45M senior term loan for the leveraged buy-out of Cerâmica Duramax, S.A., a profitable Aveiro industrial-tiles maker (€88M revenue, €14.2M audited EBITDA).

The trap is the sponsor's '€17.5M adjusted EBITDA' — built on €3.3M of add-backs the auditors never signed: a €2.1M related-party management fee and 'one-off' restructuring costs recurring three years running. The whole debt capacity rests on it: lend against €17.5M and leverage looks like 2.6×; strip the add-backs to a defensible €14.2M underwriting EBITDA and it is really 3.2×.

The leveraged-finance sub-portfolio is already at 84% of its €1.2B internal limit, so this is also a portfolio decision. Round 1 — Read the Borrower: interrogate the financials through a financial-information-quality lens (Cunha), accept or reject each add-back, judge receivables that crept from 52 to 71 days, and set a defensible underwriting EBITDA.

Round 2 — Score the Default Risk: compute leverage, interest cover and debt-service cover off your EBITDA, map an internal rating / PD band, and stress a 25–30% cyclical EBITDA decline.

Round 3 — Price the Loan and Set the Covenant: set the margin over Euribor so risk-adjusted return (RAROC) clears the desk hurdle after expected loss (PD×LGD) and capital cost — holding the line against the sponsor's Euribor+350 ask versus the model-implied Euribor+475 — and design maintenance covenants (max leverage, minimum interest cover, cash-sweep) plus an equity-cushion / amortisation call.

Round 4 — Portfolio Decision and Credit-Committee Pitch: place the deal in a near-full, cyclical book and choose approve / approve-with-conditions / decline / approve-at-reduced-hold (syndicate part), then defend price, covenants and concentration to the committee.

The math rewards stripping the disputed earnings, pricing to the RAROC hurdle, building real early-warning covenants and respecting the portfolio limit — and punishes the five classic errors: underwriting to the sponsor's adjusted EBITDA, pricing to win the mandate, weak or missing covenants, ignoring the portfolio limit, and a reflexive binary decline instead of 'yes, if' structuring.

Final KPIs track underwriting EBITDA quality, true leverage, RAROC versus hurdle, covenant strength and portfolio fit. Currency: EUR.

Who it is for

An advanced simulation for participants used to working with the main frameworks and trade-offs of the subject, designed for executive education and experienced professionals.

How a session runs

  1. The instructor creates a session from the Eureka dashboard and invites the participants.
  2. Participants play 4 rounds. In each one they submit their decisions and the simulation calculates the results.
  3. The instructor follows each participant's progress and results from the dashboard, and uses the class results for the debrief.

Decisions participants make

The decisions participants make during the simulation:

  • Receivables days have crept from 52 to 71. How do you treat working-capital quality?
  • Your financial-quality scorecard (revenue recognition · working capital · related-party items).
  • How firmly will you defend your underwriting EBITDA to a pushy sponsor? (%)
  • Map Duramax to an internal rating / PD band, given your leverage and coverage.
  • Run the cyclical stress — a 25–30% construction-driven EBITDA decline in year 2–3. What does coverage do?
  • The single factor that most drives this credit's risk.
  • Set the loan price — your margin over Euribor (bps). Sponsor asks 350; the model implies ~475.
  • Arrangement and commitment fees (one-off, % of the €45M facility).
  • Design the maintenance covenant package.
  • Structural protection beyond price and covenants.

What participants track

What participants follow on screen as the rounds go by:

  • Your Underwriting Decisions This Round
  • Underwriting File · Round by Round
  • Leverage, RAROC & Covenant-Strength Trajectory

Subjects covered

Designed for courses in Banking & Financial Services.

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