Eureka Case 25 min Strategy

Fix or Pass

You are Marta Sequeira, a principal at a small Lisbon advisory firm. A venture fund has sent back Verdão Foods' €3.0M Series A plan with one line in red: "Strategy lacks coherence — fix or pass." The investment committee sits on Thursday, and you have seventy-two hours to decide what to hand back.

The situation

Verdão Foods was founded in Lisbon in 2024. Eight people make chilled, high-protein vegan ready-meals, sold through one premium supermarket chain and a direct subscription. It booked €1.2M of revenue over the last twelve months at a 41% gross margin. It produces on a single chilled line running at 70% of capacity. It spends €95,000 a month and has cash for about five months.

The plan asks for €3.0M to reach 1,400 retail listings nationwide and enter three export markets within eighteen months. It keeps premium, chef-grade, clean-label language on every page while modelling a 28% price cut to win volume, which would take gross margin to 26%. It budgets no regulatory, cold-chain or distributor cost abroad: the fund's analysts put the omission at about €600,000. And there is no second site in the budget.

Your firm scores plan coherence from 0 to 100; Verdão's scores 38. The fund's analysts rate its investability at 32. You put the founders' backing for a changed plan at 55: both built the company on the export idea. You are on a fixed fee and promised them two decisions repaired, not the company. Two of the committee's partners have hired you before. And if the fund passes, Lisbon will know within weeks.

Your job in this case: look at where the plan's numbers pull in different directions, run the margin, spend and cash arithmetic, and decide what kind of document you take to the committee.

The decision

What do you hand back to the investment committee?

  • A · A verdict: unfundable as written
  • B · A full rewrite of the strategy
  • C · A coherence map, link by link

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