Eureka Case 25 min Undergrad

Anchor First

You are Mariana Ocampo-Bustos, 36, founder-CEO of NubeContable, a Bogotá-based accounting-SaaS for Andean SMEs. On Thursday at 14:00 you sit across the table from Diego Borrero, Managing Director at Atlante Capital, who has formally offered to acquire NubeContable. He has been doing this for 22 years. You have been doing it once. The opening anchor is yours to set.

The deal

NubeContable: COP 28,400M ARR (~USD 7.0M), 41% YoY, EBITDA-positive, 11,400 paying SMEs across CO/EC/PE. Atlante is a $1.4B LATAM mid-market PE fund whose stated thesis is "accounting infrastructure rollups." Their indicative offer letter, sent two weeks ago: a 100% cash transaction "in the USD 35–55M range, subject to diligence." No specific number. The IOI says they would like to hear your "reasonable expectations" first.

Your reservation price — the number below which you walk and run the company another two years — is USD 39M (board-aligned, post-personal-financial-planning). You do not know Atlante's reservation price. Your analyst friend at Citi says comparable LATAM accounting-SaaS deals have transacted at 5–8× ARR, with the highest at 9.4× and the median at 6.5×. The market is choppy. Diego Borrero will open with a number, or he will wait for you to open. You have to decide what to do first.

Your job in this case: work out your honest reservation price, build an estimate of theirs, decide whether to anchor first, and commit to your opening number. Thursday is in 48 hours.

The decision

What do you do in the first 10 minutes?

  • A · Let Diego open first
  • B · Open at $62M with a justified anchor
  • C · Open at $78M, signal strength

The rest of the case is locked

The data, the calculations, the decision itself and what happens next open with your institution's access code.

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